The ICAO/EASA conflict-zone framework (reference card) explicitly states that the risk of misidentification, indirect fire and debris is generally greater than that of deliberate engagement. For an analyst, this means a drone sighting must always be weighed against multiple explanations before a judgment on intent is made.
| Question | Why |
|---|---|
| Is this aimed at us, or transiting? | See Chapter 3.3 — non-targeted threats are still risky |
| Is this confirmed attribution, or a working hypothesis? | Several precedents from Chapter 5.1 still lack formal attribution |